Alonso/Tello should control this matchup on paper: they bring higher ceiling on the left-right balance (Alonso’s building + Tello’s power/finishing) and typically win the net exchanges against a newer pairing like Garcia Rodrigo/Gala. In Miami’s often warm, slightly quicker conditions, Tello’s smash and high-ball punishment becomes a bigger factor, so the main upset path is forcing Tello into low, backhand-heavy sequences and winning long, patient points. Prediction: Alonso/Tello in 2 sets if they avoid rushed overheads and protect the middle in transitions.